Just a few weeks after a presidential election prediction in the state of Iowa was dead wrong, top pollster Ann Selzer is ...

Prediction markets suggest the 2028 Presidential matchup will be between California Governor Gavin Newsom and Vice ...

Lichtman believed that Harris had satisfied the requisite eight keys, but then she lost— and in resounding fashion. After the ...

Greenwich-based Interactive Brokers' new election-prediction market was a hit, with more than $560 million traded in ...

Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald ...

History suggests the platforms have flourished during U.S. presidential elections, then struggled afterward.

Event contracts give markets a way to price in an uncertain future, says Interactive Brokers founder Thomas Peterffy.

Historian and political scientist Allan Lichtman is blaming disinformation and billionaire tech mogul Elon Musk for his ...

Thiel predicted in September that the 2024 election was "not going to be close" as he declined to spend money to help elect ...

Lichtman, a historian known for his predictions of presidential elections and who expected a Kamala Harris victory, is explaining what happened.

Grover Norquist has won The Hill’s 2024 elections contest, predicting that Republicans would control the White House, the ...

From the next James Bond actor to the Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul boxing match winner, here's what people are betting on.