Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 - Election Day - millions more will join them. Their votes this year will matter ...

That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...

270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 1% over Trump just before Election Day compared to 0.7% over Trump last ...

Will Donald Trump or Kamala Harris be the next president? Here is what polls, odds and historians say voters head to the ...

After a poor performance in 2020, pre-election polls this year were largely accurate in depicting a tight race between Donald ...

Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter ...

538's final presidential election forecast. Katie Marriner and Amina Brown for 538 And that's why we've been saying the race isn't necessarily going to be close just because the polls are.